Civil defence in the 21st century.
How the Norwegian
population as individuals and culturally, best can survive
large scale disasters that otherwise would threaten our civilization.
Copyright 2001 (& earlier), all rights reserved, copyfee charged for all copyrightable ideas, patent protection claimed, Trygve Bauge trygve@bauge.com
Click here for the latest/full copyright statement.
Oslo, Norway, late 2001,
Please forward this business idea
presentation and article to others that might be interested in
it.
If you want to publish it commercially, please contact the author for permission.
Sincerely,
Trygve Bauge
(47) 22-14-80-78
pb.59 Hovseter,
N-0705,
Oslo,
Norway
Life-extension and civil defence in the 21st century,
Business idea & venture description.
1.10 Preliminaries.
1.11 Front page.
1.111 Title. Brief venture formulation(s)
*** My business idea is: How to focus, shelter, set
free and use the most life-extending efforts. Civil defence in the 21st century.
How Norway can shelter its whole population against nuclear wars and lesser
dangers. How Norway can shelter its whole population against nuclear,
bacteriological and chemical pollution. How Norway can make the most of its more
than 700 km of road tunnels.
-- How to build global villages, international
free travel and trade zones, chartered under entrepreneurial liberty; as a kind
of compact villages, business parks and life-extending medical research and
treatment facilities; built as artificial biospheres with sheltered
infrastructure; as portals to existing road tunnels; and in in such a way as to
greatly improve our populations ability to survive nuclear war and lesser
dangers.
1.13 Legal notifications. Formal requirements.
*** That I am the source of the idea and hold copyright to
it.
© Copyright 2001 & before by Trygve Bauge, all rights reserved,
patent protection claimed, copyfee charged.
Click here for full copyright statement.
trygve@bauge.com (47)-22-14-80-78 Life-Extension Systems, P.O.B. 59 Hovseter, N-0705
Oslo, Norway. To find out more about my ventures, visit www.trygve.bauge.com.
1.19
Prescript. Introduction. My belief in the idea: ***
1.2-1.8 Script/venture plan. 1.2-/(1.201)
Prolog/setting. *** A few years ago Norway stopped building civil defence
shelters. The reasons given at the time was that there in time of war would not
be time to evacuate to such and that the latest bombs could penetrate the
traditional basement shelters making these dangerous traps. Besides, the cold
war was over and people wanted to save on construction costs. Recent history has
shown that all dangers to the civilian population did not disappear with the
cold war, and that if we fail to prepare at all, because we don't think we can
survive total warfare, then the civilian population easily will fall pray to
many lesser dangers, dangers that easily could have been survived with some
preparation.
-- But is there a better way of sheltering the general public
in case of war and pollution than the older basement shelters? I have come up
with an alternative way of sheltering the population, a way that does not
require distant evacuation, that offers better protection than the older
basement shelters, and that enables whole operating communities to be sheltered
in such a way that most community functions easily can be maintained in the
shelters.
-- I have looked at how Norway easily can turn its more than 700
kilometers of road tunnels into civil defense shelters offering protection
against both pollution and nearby bomb explotions. This venture idea
presentation covers how one can build one such pilot project, that then over
time could be copied in communities throughout Norway.
-- My presentation
covers how we can improve the ventilation systems of our road tunnels, so to get
clean air of slightly higher pressure than the outer polluted air. This we can
accomplish by installing air pumps and standard hepa filters (high efficiency
particle absortion filters) that filter out nuclear, bacteriological and
chemical pollution. By pumbing in air, filtering this in existing ventilation
shacts or at the tunnel portal and releasing it in the midle of a road tunnel we
would get fresh air flowing out of both tunnel openings, keeping polluted air
out.
-- If we want to improve the shelter even further we could drill for
ground water, add water filters, a burried oil tank and a local electrical
generator. All such infrastructure could be placed in existing or new side
tunnels or in a small new terrain integrated facilty just outside one of the
portals. If we want to add some protection against nearby bombs we could add
huge hydraulic blast doors of reinforced concrete at all tunnel entrances.
--
This has all been done before in road tunnels like the Sonnenberg tunnel in
Luzerne Switzerland.
-- However, it is cumbersome for people living
elsewhere, in an emergency to move to and set up a society in a road tunnel.
Thus my innovative suggestion consists of going one step further than what has
been done before:
-- Let us build small compact villages, resort towns & business parks: commercial properties, with apartments, offices and shops, around the portals to our existing road tunnels. Let us build these as multi story indoor malls, with clean filtered air under over pressure. And let us link such facilites through terrain integrated passageways to the nearby road tunnel.
-- Then many people
would live and work in a clean environment, and wouldn't have to evacuate, and
the attached road tunnel would serve as extra space, that easily could be
expanded into in an emergency. By building small partially sheltered portal
societies, by bringing in all utilities, it would be so much easier for these
societies to take in the surrounding population in en emergency. Our civil
defence and our military already have tent based hospitals and a lot of mobile
equipment, that is not sheltered against pollution. But if we stored this in
storage facilities at tunnel portals, then such tent based hospitals and
container based equipment could fast and easily in emergencies be placed in and
used in clean air in road tunnels.
-- Each year lots of new commercial
facilities are built. Why not build these as portals to our road tunnels?
--
If the government put together the right framework of conditions, many private
investors might find it more or as profitable to build their new facilities at
tunnel portals than elsewhere. All it takes is to change the zoning to
commercial, to reduce the tax burden on and to speed up the building permit
process for such construction and facilities. We could even define the tunnel
portals as international free travel and trade zones, e.g. as special business
zones chartered under entrepreneurial liberty and with no tax burden so to
attract investments, and research and development companies from around the
world, so to faster and better finance the infrastructure that as a side effect
would shelter our whole population in emergencies.
-- If we really want to
survive in style, come hell or high water, we could build our portal villages as
artificial biospheres, or even build terrain integrated or tunnel based
artificial biospheres attached to our road tunnels. An artificial biosphere is
like a huge indoor greenhouse large enough and with enough biotopes to survive
on its own even if the outer environment is lost to pollution and war.
-- In
large catastrophies it is more important than ever to have sheltered hospitals.
If we link or move our hospitals to existing road tunnels, the hospitals could
easily expand into the road tunnels in an emergency. For example if we lower and
build a cover over the highway called Ring 3 from The Tåsen tunnel and to our
main hospital Rikshospitalet, then this hospital would be directly linked to a
long road tunnel. Similarly if we built the Røa tunnel from the Radium Hospital
and to the Griniroad at the Lysaker river, then this hospital too would be
linked to a large road tunnel. I mention both these tunnel projects since the
local populations at both locations have been advocating local road tunnels for
years. The fact that such tunnels easily can be used to improve our hospital
ability in emergencies is one more reason to go ahead and build them.
-- We
could also build a cover over the highway from the existing Granfoss tunnel and
the few hundred meters down to the Radium Hospital, installing the necessary
filters and infrastructure at the same time. And new hospitals could in the
future be placed at the portals of existing road tunnels.
-- So far we have
invested the national oilbased income in foreign stocks. These investments seems
to have fallen with about 20 percent the last year. Why continue to lose
billions of dollars on foreign investments, when we can invest the money in new
compact high growth enterprise zones around our own road tunnels, and as a side
effect shelter our own population against nuclear war and lesser dangers?
--
My personal goal is individual life-extension. I realize that with todays
life-expectancy I have only about another 40 years or so to try to earn a
drastically longer life.
-- To greatly extend human life span (to improve
both the longest life available to those who care to do their best and the
average life-expectancy) will take a lot of innovation and value maximizing, we
have to develop still more life-extending options, and still better means, tools
and routines, make these available in large quantities and cut the production
costs so that still more people can afford still more life-extending solutions
and treatments.
-- Historically and logically entrepreneurial liberty is the
legal and political system that best enables innovation and value maximizing.
Life-extension and entrepreneurial liberty go hand in hand. To best survive we
need entrepreneurial liberty. At the same time liberty and progress have
inherent risks that can be misused. To best extend human life-expectancy and to
best make possible the uttermost life lengths we can't afford to violate
entrepreneurial liberty, instead we have to find ways to create safety and to
enforce liberty by means of liberty in liberty. Thus we need to find a way to
fight dangers by technical and sosial solutions rather than by legal solutions.
The question of survival is not one of liberty versus safety, but one of
creating a shelter race in entrepreneurial liberty.
-- To drastically extend
life, to drastically improve the life-expectancy that is available to any highly
self-improving individual that cares to do its best and to drastically improve
the average life expectancy, to do so, requires a lot of innovative research,
development and production improvements. We have to find out what people die
from, and find still better ways to prevent the main causes of death.
-- The
challenge is not just one of finding still more life-extending medical
treatments, including rejuvenating and healing treatments, but also one of
protecting our most life-extending efforts against what that threaten these.
With the research going on today we might get to add ten or twenty years to the
average life-expectancy in my life time. I for one, would very much like to get
these extra years.
-- However, lack of liberty like bans on cloning and
cryonics etc. might slow down our progress towards still more life-extending
treatments.
-- At the same time, the progress that still takes place is
threatened by the same dangers that threatens our civilization as such: Large
wars, huge meteor hits, large pandemics, (and even strong nuclear and chemical
pollution) are probably the dangers that can cause the worst setbacks to
civilization, and thus the dangers that pose the worst threats to our most
life-extending efforts, herein to the entrepreneurial liberty and the
infrastructure without which we can't greatly extend individual lives or the
average life-expectancy. The question of survival is one of individual survival
through cultural survival.
-- I see it of value to focus, shelter, set
free and use the most life-extending efforts.
-- Thus my suggestion that we
define our road tunnels and their immediate surroundings as international free
travel and trade zones. That we charter these under entrepreneurial liberty.
That we build compact villages, research and treatment parks around the tunnel
openings and that we equip these villages and the road tunnels as artificial
biospheres with clean air under slight over pressure. And that we by use of
partially terrain integrated facilities and side tunnels shelter our
infrastructure against the effects of war, so that we in emergencies can expand
our local communities into the road tunnels, and easily take in and house
refugees from the immediately surrounding areas.
-- Of the more than 700
kilometers of Norwegian road tunnels, some tunnels are unsuitable because they
go below lakes, fjords or the ocean, or the tunnel entries are below large dams
and too close to rivers at the valley bottom: One wouldn't want to be in a
tunnel that easily could be flooded. Many other road tunnels are insulated with
a fire prone material or foam. One wouldn't want to be in such either. Some
tunnels are too short, shallow or weak to give adequate protection against
radiation and bombs, or would shelter too few people to make it cost effective
to add the necessary utilities and blast doors. Then some tunnels lack adequate
options for rerouting of the traffic. Many tunnels however, are built as
parallell pipes. In such, one tunnel could easily in emergencies be closed for
traffic while the latter is rerouted in both directions through the second
tunnel. For many other tunnels traffic could in emergencies be rerouted along
the older roads that existed before the tunnel was built in the first
place.
-- Most tunnels have two lanes and are about 8 to 10 meters in
diameter. If we store easily installable modular bunk beds with 4 levels, double
length and double width (1.8 m tall, 5 m long and 1,3 m wide) and in emergencies
instal these perpendicular to the road tunnel and with 70 cm distance between
the bunk beds, we will end up with 8 beds per linear meter of road tunnel and
still have a 3 to 5 meter wide passage way and work area throughout the whole
tunnel length. To improve the capacity further we could in emergencies also
instal a modular mezzanine level literally splitting the tunnel in two different
floors.
--
With such meassures 500 km of road tunnels
could easily be used to shelter 4 million
people. The population is about 4,5 million but the military already has
shelters for its people.
-- My educated estimate is that there thus are more
than enough tunnels to shelter the whole civilian population in tunnels and
facilities attached to such. Even more so if we start building compact villages,
terrain integrated facilities and side tunnels (utility tunnels) attached to our
road tunnels, because then still more people would be sheltered in the portal
facilities too. Besides, we are building road tunnels all the time, thus
increasing the average road tunnel footage per resident.
-- I don't expect
Norway to experience fighting on Norwegian soil any time soon, but as we have
seen in situations like Chernobyl, Bobal, the Russian submarines and the
terrorist attacks on New York, we might be hit by nuclear, bacteriologiocal or
chemical pollution. In some of our valleys (Alvdal) the outdoor pollution is
still so high 15 years after the Chernobyl accident that the sheep has to be fed
a diet moved in from elsewhere to reduce their radioactive content before they
are slaughtered. Over the last 200 years Norway has twice experienced a lack of
Summer due to large vulcanic eruptions at the other side of the globe. Pollution
drifted far after the Gulf and Kosovo wars, and we could easily receive
pollution from terrorist attacks in Europe or from larger wars elsewhere. One
doesn't have to be scared of large meteors, or world war III and ensuing nuclear
winters, to understand that it can come in handy to be able to shelter the
civilian population in partially terrain integrated artificial biospheres.
--
Now I have presented the business idea. My plan is to develop this into a full
fledge business plan, and participate with this in next year's VentureCup
competition. I am drawing up the necessary plans for one small pilot project:
e.g. for how one small partially terrain integrated commercial medical facility,
research laboratory and retreat can be built at an existing tunnel portal,
providing the necessary infrastructure so that the tunnel easily could be used
to shelter the surrounding population in an emergency. The plan also calls for
the construction of a terrassed or high rise indoor mall to be built as a
commercial property constituting a small village and providing apartments,
office space, shops and storage space. I am submitting my plans to various
business plan competitions and to those people in the Justice department that is
preparing the new parliamentary plan (stortings melding) on the Norwegian civil
defence. I have already contacted several politicians in our parliament, several
people in charge of our civil defence and several leaders of construction
companies. This business idea presentation goes out to selected media
contacts.
-- I intend to improve this plan, recruit a business team, complete
the plan, create a local company, recruit investors and lobby the politicians so
to get an improved framework of conditions to work
under.
Sincerely, Trygve Bauge
1.2/(1.202)/(1.21-1.29) The
business idea. Idea description/Product description: -Description of the idea, product or
service. *** See
above.
Innovation: -What aspects of the idea that are unique, original,
creative, innovative and new. ***
Building compact villages in the form of indoor terrassed or highrise malls, as
portals to our road tunnels, in such a way that traffic is not impeded in
peacetime, but easily can be rerouted in emergencies. Equipping the portal
villages and road tunnels with clean air under over pressure or even as
artificial biospheres. Sheltering the necessary infrastructure in terrain
integrated facilities at the portal or in side tunnels. Defining the portal
villages as international freeports, free travel and trade zones, chartered
under entrepreneurial liberty. Use these villages as medical business parks and
to develop international medical research and treatment facilities.
-- What
we are speaking about here are a kind of medical business parks and incubators
where cloning, cryonics, high doses of vitamins and other experimental
life-extending research and treatments freely can be tested out and
offered.
-How the
idea is better than the existing competition. *** It focuses, shelters and sets free our most
life-extending efforts, both individually and culturally, and to a larger extent
than presently is done anywhere else to my knowledge. It also provides a greatly
improved civil defence system for the 21st century, herein a much better way of
protecting the population and a functioning society against both pollution and
nearby bombs.
1.3 The market. Customer value: -The value to others of the
product/service. -Why
there is a demand for this product/service. -What
problems does it solve? -What
existing demands does it meet better than the existing
competition? ***
It would stimulate research and development of still more life-extending
solutions, both individually and culturally. It would potentially give longer
life, and increase average life-expectancy. It would give more liberty and at
the same time provide better shelter against the misuse of liberty. It would
give people more ease of mind in emergencies when world peace is at stake and
more protection against terrorists attacks both elsewhere and locally. The
market is in people wanting longer life, more liberty or better protection
against various dangers.
Potential market: -Who that will want to buy this
product/service. *** First a pilot
project would be offered to private investors and rich people willing to buy
into it commercially and residentially. I am thinking of inviting people to join
in a private civil defence organizations, and then build the pilot facility for
the members and for an annual survival drill open to the general public and for
other frequent training drills for civil defence personnel from here and abroad.
The pilot project could also serve as a civil defence training center, park and
museum. Then I could go on building still better such portal villages around the
country. If the politicians want to shelter our population and to upgrade our
civil defence plans along the lines outlined above, then the whole Norwegian
population would be a market. And I would then aim at covering part of that
market.
Market estimate: -Targeted market segments. -Size
of targeted market segments. -The
industry and the company's place and projected place in
this. *** Each portal project would
take from a few months to a few years to develop, dependent upon how complex the
plans are. We would basically be competing with other commercial developments,
in particular the construction of medical research and treatment facilities, the
construction of hotels and resorts , but also the construction of business
parks, shopping malls, residental subdivisions and with anyone developing civil
defence shelters. What framework of conditions the politicians set will to a
large extent decide the size of thess markets that I would be able to attract.
If I act fast enough I would be building the market. Over some time I expect
competition. I even encourage it so that we faster can get more liberty, better
shelters and more life-extending research and
treatments.
That
the idea has a large market
potensial. That
the product is filling a demand held by people that can afford to and is served
by buying it at more than it costs to produce and distribute.
That the product is
meeting a demand held by people able to and eager to pay for it. That there
are a large number of such people. That there is a large market for such a product and that this
product is better or cheaper than the competition. *** People like to be
alive. The 21st century can become the life-extension century, a century of
great break throughs in individual life-extension and great improvements in
average life-expectancy. I think that people want to stay healthy longer and to
survive in style. I think people are tired of living under the threat of nuclear
war and the threat of terrorists. Besides western civilization and Norway in
particular can afford high construction activity. The road tunnels are already
there, we are to build lots of facilities anyway, so we might as well build some
of these around our road tunnels and improve our civil defence situation at the
same time. Besides our parliament has just changed to the right in the direction
of more laissez faire capitalisme, and seems to favour that society's tasks are
solved by private investors. And the above is an outline for how civil defence
can be organized and improved by private ventures in the private
market.
1.4 Marketing. Distribution system: -How it is possible to distribute and sell this
product cost effectively and in a realistic way. *** It is so unique that it propably can be marketed through
a lot of free media coverage.
How to market the product. *** I have
already a few hundred media contacts (from my past icebathing, cryonic projects
and political lobbying activities) I have no doubt that I easily can line up
media coverage for the above project too.
1.5 The business
model. Ownerstructure. *** Separate ownership, then a few investors,
followed by a public stock offfering to the general public. It wouldn't take
many terrorist attacks to get people interested in investing in their own
safety.
Implementation. -Implementation plan and steps. Herein: financing,, production, distribution and
marketing. *** See above. Basically: improve the plans, create a company,
raise some money, lobby the politicians for the use of a road tunnel and for a
good framework to work under, raise some more money, then hire existing
companies with experience in building tunnels and commercial property to
complete the plans and build the facilities. In the interest of public civil
defence it might even be possible to talk the politicians into letting the
tunnel upgrades be financed by way of a limited toll on traffic until the
upgrades are paid down.
Profitability: -How to make money on the
idea. *** Lobbying the politicians
for good conditions. Charging toll on traffic until one has received a good
return on all investments. Or just offering the first few projects to those that
bid the most to get in on these. Each time there is a world emergency people
would be standing in line to bid up the price on getting access to such a
sheltered society. And if we organize these as indternational free travel and
trade zones we would have the whole world as a market. There always seems to be
rich people fleeing from wars and disaster, so a creation of small Hong Kong
like freeports around our road tunnels along the coast, would probably get more
buyers than we can handle. It becomes a political question of priorities: who do
we want to shelter first: the Norwegian population or the richest people world
wide? Both can afford to pay.
How implementable the idea
is. That the idea easily can be
commercialized.
That the idea easily can be implemented, developed,
produced, distributed and sold in the estimated (large) quantities and at the
estimated (huge) profit. *** Enough technology to implement the above
venture, already exists off the shelf, it is just a question of combining it.
The road tunnels exist too, many of these have ventilation systems. And hepa
filters cost from 10,000 US dollars and up, so it is not that expencive to make
our road tunnels a safe heaven for our population. The rest of the project
wouldn't cost more to build at the tunnel portals than it will cost to build it
elsewhere, and since we are to build commercial and residental facilities
anyway, why not build some of these at our tunnel portals?
1.6 The
business team. The grunders ability to succeed. The grunders ability to implement and
commersialize the venture at or beyond
the estimated size and profit. Network, skills/abilities/competence, resources,
qualities/capacities. *** I am
working on it, I will use all the guidance I can get from VentureCup and SDN
over the next few years.
1.7 Risks and how to overcome these. *** This
will be covered in the full venture plan.
1.8 Financial
statements. *** This too will be covered in the full venture
plan.
1.8+/(1.899+) Epilog/Conclusion: *** Let us go
for it. Feel free to get in touch if you want to get in on the above business
idea.
Sincerely,
Trygve Bauge
trygve@bauge.com
1.9 Appendix. 1.91 Postscript. 1.94
Elaborations.
-- That I will elaborate on this business idea in a complete
venture plan as my entry in next year's VentureCup competition.
-- I am
working on a list of minimum files to implement the above venture.
1.99 Backpage.
Designs for larger life extension centers.
Copyright 1986-1993 by Trygve Bauge,
trygve@bauge.com, all rights reserved, patent protection claimed, copyfee
charged.
The above are some early designs I have made for larger
life-extension centers. (The phone numbers & addresses on the drawings no longer apply. See below for how to get hold of me.) Such
facilities could be built in Norway, attached to any of our road tunnels, with
the road tunnel serving as an extra civil defence shelter in emergencies. I am
working on even better designs combining terrassed or highrise indoor malls,
partly terrain integrated medical facilities and road tunnels. Vaulted
reinforced concrete technology like the one used in the above laboratory design
could be used to extend road tunnel portals and to shelter air filters, water
wells, a generator and emergency supplies in a terrain integrated road tunnel
attachment.
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